On an infinite timeline, everything fails and on an infinite timeline, everything is more expensive. I'm pretty confident starters would cost double what they did in the 80s today with or without start/stop technology and eventually, everything will fail anyway.
..but I'm going to have to start asking the folks here against start/stop for hard numbers. 'common sense' isn't going to work for me. Do you have any data to back up that start/stop systems fail faster than a traditional starter? and by traditional, I mean manufactured in the last decade but not going through the extra thousands of cycles that are being added to a car with the start stop function?
I would be willing to bet $5 there are some automotive engineers from Bosch/Denso/etc who would take great offense to people here saying the requirements they engineered their starters to accounting for stop/start aren't good enough and they shipped you an inferior product that costs more and lasts less time. I tend to trust the engineers. They did the complex math that ensures these things last.
Speaking for myself, I have no issue with start/stop systems. I enjoy the quiet cabin they provide and If it saves $150 a year in fuel, that's even better. If I was a tree-hugger, I'd jump to the impact idling has on the ozone layer...idling that offers nothing but exhaust and a colder AC system but no propulsion since we're just sitting still in traffic. It's wasted energy to idle and these system eliminate that wasted energy. If the by-product is replacing a starter every 10 years instead of 15, I consider that a fine trade-off.
We're arguing over a function that saves about 30 gallons of fuel per year per average city-dwelling American per a 2009 study over a part that costs $150 -
https://shop.advanceautoparts.com/find/dodge-ram-1500-starter
https://www.vanderbilt.edu/sustainability/wp-content/uploads/sites/69/carrico_costlymyths.pdf
its okay to not like start/stop because of the shudder / weaker AC cold air coming out / delay in starting the car when the light turns green / the noise, etc. Most people who are riding my car ask me to turn it off because they find the engine start vibration annoying & distracting..it takes about 5-7 start-stop actions when we're siting in traffic for them (friends/family) to go "please turn that off, it's annoying" or "why is your car doing that?" I believe most people just don't like it from the experience sort of like after a car-alarm has been going off for a minute, people start vacating the area or yelling 'turn it off' it's like fight or flight kicks in.
For people who don't mind start/stop, there's no denying the benefits outweigh the cost. The system adds about $200 to the sticker and saves 4-9% of your fuel usage annually.
Like most internet arguments, I'm not going to continue going back and forth. I've spoken my case here. I wouldn't not buy a car because 'in 10 years", a feature is going to stop working because getting 10 years out of blind spot monitoring or back up camera or carPlay before the thing breaks is okay for me. Starters aren't that expensive and Stellantis being a European company now, they are shipping 70-90% of their vehicles with this technology in it and they're as big or bigger than VW group. I would just find it impossible to believe their engineers didn't account for a feature that comes on nearly every vehicle they make.
It's okay for people here to just not like the feature because the shuddering / delay is annoying but to argue reliability and cost without numbers means we're all just going to be going around in circles and end up exactly where we started.