We'd probably have a better chance of agreeing on abortion rights than oil change intervals!
The mindset for owners has to be different based on your intentions for long term ownership (or not). Bad oil habits likely won't reveal themselves until 200+k miles. The claims of "I changed my oil every 15k with no issues to 100k", doesn't hold much validity as any modern engine will hold together that long.
The sweet spot for most owners on normal duty cycle is between 7,500-10,000. As noted, an analysis can give you an indication if you can run a longer interval (assuming same duty cycle).
While the manufacturer "knows best" is true, you'd want to keep in mind they may not suggest what's in the owner's best interest. Ownership cost is a well reported figure that manufacturers want to keep low. European brands are guilty of reducing preventative maintenance requirements overnight in a marketing effort. This is especially true when it comes to transmission/diff fluids.