Cost per mile is exactly what I'm getting at. $25 charge to go (hopefully) 250 miles is $0.10 per mile. Obviously if a guy hauls or tows, this cost per mile is going to go up exponentially with an EV. Compare that to a gasoline or diesel F-150 that is around $0.11 to $0.12 per mile, has double the range, and sees a much smaller decrease in range when loaded or towing.
OK, I'll bite. Rumor has it that the larger battery pack for the F-150 might be 150kWh. Even if we could drop it to 0% and fully recharge it, that's only $16.50 at my electricity rate. $16.50 for 250 miles = $0.066 per mile.
In the lifetime of my Ram (17K+ miles), I've averaged 14.6 mpg. The lowest midgrade gas price in Fort Worth is $2.74/gallon. So 250 miles takes 17.123 gallons, a cost of $46.92 or $0.1877 per mile.
Theoretically (but based on real numbers), the
F-150 Lighting will cost 65% less per mile than my Ram. Even if we go really conservative and say that the F-150 won't achieve its full range, the equivalent fuel cost will be half of what I'm paying now.
Obviously there are no oil changes. But there are still fluids onboard, and electric wiring, cable lugs, and motors don't last forever. Occasionally an engine will fail and cost several thousand to replace. How much is a replacement of a 1,800 lb. battery pack that fails? $10k? $15k? What about those dual electric motors? Are the brushed or brushless motors? Brushes need replacement from time to time.
There are no oil changes, far fewer moving parts to wear and break, far fewer hoses and belts to deteriorate and break, etc., etc. Ford states that they expect scheduled maintenance costs to be "more than 40% less" over 8 years or 100K miles than an F-150 equipped with the 2.7L EcoBoost engine.
You're right that there are some unknowns with respect to the motors and battery pack. Those are the biggest risks, to be honest, although we'll learn a lot about reliability during the initial warranty period for these trucks. But again, there are far fewer points of potential failure overall. You mentioned a replacement engine, but what about a replacement transmission, water pump, alternator, etc.?
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Unrelated: I can't believe nobody's talking about the fact that the truck will have an IRS (vs. the live axle in standard F-150s). Between the low center of gravity (due to batteries) and IRS, this truck might handle surprisingly well!